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Science, ECOlogy, ECOnomics, Environment, and Global Politics
[ --worldly image-- ]
on a finite planet

*!* Problems? Is it possible that many problems like family and human concerns are really economic problems? What are are we being told about our economic problems? Of perpetual downsizing, underemployment, and crime and declining family values? Of increasing economic stratification and decreasing real wages? Depends on whom you ask. Everybody is fingerpointing.   On and on...everybody wants what we have.   Politicians, educators, unions, the military, the Media, the corporations....   These are the people with the power to tell us what to think, -- those with the amplified bullhorns.   Can we blame them for trying to sell us their views? No.   But perhaps the answer is not with those who have emotional or financial vested interests in the status quo? Is this possible?


Truth?? Where is it? If the solution didn't set the crowds cheering, would the politicians use it? If it couldn't scapegoat somebody, would it be on talk radio? If the solution wasn't new! and exciting!, would it get media play? If it ran contrary to the corporate economist's assumptions and goals, would they tell us? If all this were true, where would we find the true solution?
How would we know?

Now imagine that science had the answer all along.   Wouldn't that fit the above criteria? If they had the solution, it would be drowned out in the din of competing bullhorns.   But it gets even more difficult.   Downsizing, underemployment, crime and decaying family values are not scientific issues, -- scientists are not paid to study that, -- and to comment on them would be "unscientific" and a source of ridicule in the scientific community. Scientists are very over-cautious, for example, it has not been proven that if you let go of a hammer; it will drop.   They actually think this way! For example, if a scientist says; "It has not been scientifically proven....", they may have 1,000 time more evidence than it would take to hang a man in a court of law.   Needless to say, scientists rarely make a good press interview, nor say anything quotable.   And worse, such timid statements are likely to be misunderstood by lay people used to a world of Rush Limbaughs and hyperbole from every direction.

Science is big on "prediction".   A hypothesis gains credence if it can make predictions as well as tie up loose ends. There is only one economic model that predicts all of the above problems, and more.   But the problem is, it is not an economic model, it is a scientific one drawn from well known biologisms.   The problem is, biologists are not likely to draw conclusions about human society from the natural world.   Certainly care is needed.   But our species is not magic, and a biologism is a biologism.   It would do our mainstream economists well to learn a few of these.   The Earth is no longer infinite.   Economists have no mechanism to see nor deal with global scarcity, only local or relative scarcity.   In fact, the economy hides such things.   If all things become equally scarce, the price will not change, the only symptom is; we work longer for less, even with vast new technology to help us.   Two of the most powerful functions of the economy are described as "Pareto optimallity" and "resource substitution".   It seemingly has not occurred to most economists that these would eventually cause all things to become equally scarce!

On the following pages, we'll explore not so much these ideas, but the solutions and the powerful forces that keep the public ignorant.   I'll leave you now with words from World Bank economist Daly's For the Common Good, pp 1:

	"Words aught to be a little wild, for they are the 
	     assaults of thoughts upon the unthinking."
		    J.M. Keynes, 1930s.

 "In our time, it is the facts themselves that are more than
  a little wild and constitute an assault on unthinking economic
  dogma.    We need little help from wild rhetoric.    The wild 
  facts are summarized in calm words...."   [Lists ecological 
  facts, and effects of overpopulation and the exponential growth
  in the scale of the human economy, including the ozone hole and 
  possible mass extinction.    Defines diseconomy of scale as
  as a new era of 'uneconomic growth' that impoverishes.

 "This [diseconomy of scale] is the fundamental wild fact 
  that so far has not found expression sufficiently feral to
  assault successfully the civil stupor of economic discourse.
  Indeed, contrary to Keynes, it seems that the wildness of 
  either words or facts is nowadays taken as clear evidence
  of untruth.    Moral concern is 'unscientific.'  Statement of
  fact is 'alarmist.'"


Seeking a well hidden truth....

[  S. A. F. E.  ]
Your peace dividend at work.
SAFE is an all volunteer organization.


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*!* The big picture: seeking a unified theory
*!* our Ozone Depletion page
*!* Ecology? Scientists' Warning:

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S.A.F.E. - bashford@psnw.com

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